Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Parma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4.58	3.32	1.94
	4.58	3.32	1.93
	4.33	3.3	1.83
	4.31	3.44	1.89	Watch
	4	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.57)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
22%

Draw
28.6%

Parma
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: Parma will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 3. Cagnano A. 55. Masiello A. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 4. Arrigoni T. 24. Davi S. 27. Kurtic J. 90. Odogwu R. 17. Casiraghi D.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 20. Hainaut A. 39. Circati A. 47. Zagaritis V. 98. Man D. 64. Cyprien W. 19. Sohm S. 8. Estevez N. 28. Mihaila V. 9. Charpentier G.
Substitutes
15. Broh J. T. 11. Ciervo R. 26. Cisco A. 12. Drago G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 77. Lonardi L. 8. Mallamo A. 33. Merkaj S. 42. Peeters D. 23. Rauti N. 18. Rover M. 34. Tscholl J. (G)	14. Ansaldi C. 7. Benedyczak A. 10. Bernabe A. 13. Bonny A. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 27. Hernani 3. Osorio Y. 21. Partipilo A. 22. Turk M. (G) 30. Valenti L.
Coaches
Valente F.	Pecchia F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sohm S. ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
52', Arrigoni T. 🟨,
61', Charpentier G. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
61', Hainaut A. ↓, Osorio Y. ↑,
63', Bernabe A. 🟨,
70', Kurtic J. ↓, Peeters D. ↑,
70', Tait F. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
70', Estevez N. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
74', Cyprien W. 🟨,
78', Mihaila V. ↓, Hernani ↑,
79', Odogwu R. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
90', Masiello A. ↓, Kofler R. ↑,
90', Molina S. ↓, Rover M. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Lecco	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Parma - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.03.24	Parma - Brescia	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Ternana - Parma	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.11.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
11.03.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
22.10.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
24.04.17	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
08.12.16	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	0:1

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