Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.07	3.79
	2.25	3.07	3.79
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.19	3.18	3.56	Watch
	2.23	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.21)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
42.7%

Draw
30.5%

Ternana
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 2. Scaglia F. 55. Masiello A. 79. Molina S. 4. Arrigoni T. 27. Kurtic J. 24. Davi S. 21. Tait F. (C) 90. Odogwu R. 17. Casiraghi D.	18. Vitali T. (G) 5. Boloca G. 6. Dalle Mura C. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. (C) 71. Luperini G. 72. Amatucci L. 8. de Boer K. 9. Raimondo A. 10. Pereiro G. 28. Di Stefano F.
Substitutes
3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 12. Drago G. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 77. Lonardi L. 8. Mallamo A. 33. Merkaj S. 42. Peeters D. 23. Rauti N. 18. Rover M. 5. Vinetot K.	2. Bonugli M. 79. Carboni F. 65. Dionisi F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 21. Ferrara C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 76. Novelli F. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 24. Viviani F. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Valente F.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Odogwu R. ⚽, Tait F. (A),
13', Davi S. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Pereiro G. ⚽, Casasola T. (A),
27', Boloca G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Luperini G. ⚽, Casasola T. (A),
45+3', Kurtic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Casiraghi D. ⚽,
54', de Boer K. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
57', Vitali T. 🟨,
59', Tait F. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
60', Boloca G. 🟨,
61', Raimondo A. ↓, Sorensen F. ↑,
64', Casiraghi D. 🟨,
67', 2 - 3, Luperini G. ⚽, Casasola T. (A),
70', Pereiro G. 🟨,
75', 3 - 3, Casiraghi D. (Pen),
84', Davi S. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
84', Arrigoni T. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
85', 4 - 3, El Kaouakibi H. ⚽,
88', Luperini G. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
88', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
88', Amatucci L. ↓, Viviani F. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Südtirol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWTL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Brescia - Ternana	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Cremonese - Ternana	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Ternana - Modena	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Sampdoria - Ternana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.09.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
06.05.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
11.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.19	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
12.12.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	2:1

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