Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)


	Sampdoria		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	4	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.6
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.45	4.07
	2.03	3.39	4.07
	1.91	3.6	3.6
	2.02	3.62	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)	3.49 ↑ (3.49)	3.77 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
47.7%

Draw
27.1%

Ternana
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Sampdoria - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: Sampdoria will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 87. Ghilardi D. 46. Leoni G. 3. Barreca A. 28. Yepes G. 55. Darboe E. 14. Kasami P. 23. Depaoli F. 10. Verre V. 29. Murru N. 9. De Luca M.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 19. Capuano M. 6. Dalle Mura C. 72. Amatucci L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 9. Raimondo A.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez A. 5. Askildsen K. 16. Borini F. 21. Giordano S. 15. Lotjonen A. 43. Lukisa S. 11. Pedrola E. 2. Piccini C. 22. Ravaglia N. (G) 40. Stojanovic P. 12. Tantalocchi E. (G)	5. Boloca G. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 17. Favilli A. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 18. Vitali T. (G) 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Pirlo A.	Breda R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Luperini G. 🟨,
22', Pyyhtia N. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, De Luca M. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
64', Verre V. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Pereiro G. ⚽, Casasola T. (A),
76', Darboe E. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
76', Depaoli F. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
77', Raimondo A. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Stojanovic P. ⚽, Borini F. (A),
84', Carboni F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
84', Murru N. ↓, Piccini C. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Stojanovic P. (A),
87', Casasola T. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Stojanovic P. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Sampdoria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ternana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampdoria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Bari - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Sampdoria - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Pisa - Ternana	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Ternana - Parma	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.08.23	Ternana - Sampdoria	1:2

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