Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 17

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.00	3.20
	2.12	2.95	3.05
	2.19	3.15	3.67
	2.19	3.04	3.54	Watch
	2.10	2.90	3.40
	2.13	2.93	3.44	Watch
	1.94	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
43%

Draw
30.1%

Banga Gargždai
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-2%)

Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 5. Baltrunas Z. 8. Lawson S. 13. Mikulenas M. 6. Sabo A. 94. Sanokho S. M. 7. Seck I. 14. Steponavicius F. 75. Stockunas E. 4. Uzochukwu H. 15. Zivanovic A. (C)	14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 51. Cadu 11. Filipavicius R. 27. Henning R. 10. Magdusauskas V. 99. Olugbogi A. 21. Praleika S. 45. Sato M. 6. Simao J. 77. Venckus I.
Substitutes
26. Antanavicius D. 23. Grigalava R. 10. Haydary O. 9. Lucky T. 18. Milasius T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 19. Tangiri F. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)	17. Andrejev M. 9. Appiah A. 30. Cande U. 47. Fosuhene Asare K. 20. Levsinas A. 3. Malzinskas D. 7. Norvilas D. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Marques Afonso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 4.

Sūduva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Banga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sūduva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 1.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
5	Banga	28	11	8	9	32:28	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
29.05.26	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTTT
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.05.26	Banga Gargždai - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 penalties ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Banga Gargždai - Transinvest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.04.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:1
21.09.25	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:1
17.08.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	2:1
11.05.25	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:1
09.03.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	1:0
27.10.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	2:0
02.08.24	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0

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