Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Səbail		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10	5.75	1.21
	11	5.6	1.2	Watch
	12.69	5.69	1.2	Watch
	13	5	1.22
	13.3	6	1.17	Watch
	11	5.8	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.83 ↓ (11.99)	5.64 ↑ (5.42)	1.2 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
7.7%

Draw
16.2%

Qarabağ Agdam
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.6%

16.9%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Səbail will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Səbail (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quliyev H. (G) 19. Abdullayev S. 18. Ahmadov S. 10. Gomis D. 3. Lytvyn D. 74. Nabiyev Y. (C) 4. Nikolic M. 99. Nshuti I. 83. Quliyev N. 16. Rustamov E. 5. Sofir G.	99. Kochalski M. (G) 90. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 7. Benzia Y. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 8. Jankovic M. 9. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 10. Zoubir A. (C)
Substitutes
67. Abasov R. 11. Abdullazada R. 44. Bilali A. 7. Maddi 97. Mammadov O. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 96. Muradov I. 12. Mustabazada A. (G) 77. Nabiyev F. 88. Shiraliyev H.	11. Addai E. 66. Andrade P. 97. Buntic F. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 21. Kashchuk O. 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 81. Medina K. 22. Qurbanly M. 29. Vesovic M. 19. Xhixha R.
Coaches
Huseynov C.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Zoubir A. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
19', 0 - 2, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 3, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
61', Nshuti I. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
61', Abdullayev S. ↓, Muradov I. ↑,
61', Nikolic M. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
67', Ahmadov S. ↓, Maddi ↑,
67', Zoubir A. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
67', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
67', Jankovic M. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Gomis D. ⚽, Sofir G. (A),
73', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
73', Benzia Y. ↓, Xhixha R. ↑,
80', Gomis D. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Səbail won 0.

Səbail is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Qarabağ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Qarabağ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.

In this match Qarabağ is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Səbail won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 14:54 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Səbail won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:18 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.04.25	Səbail - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Kapaz - Səbail	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Səbail - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Zira - Səbail	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
06.04.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
02.04.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.03.25	Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
27.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	3:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	5:0
Azerbaijan Cup
06.02.25	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3
14.09.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	2:1
06.04.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Səbail	4:2
03.02.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2

Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide