Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Səbail		Zira

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.63
	3.65	3.15	1.96	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.06
	3.69	3.17	1.99	Watch
	3.87	3.3	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.15	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.15)	3.23 ↓ (3.44)	1.93 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
23.7%

Draw
28.5%

Zira
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

26.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Səbail's performance.

Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Səbail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Səbail - Zira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Səbail (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mustabazada A. (G) 22. Abbasov M. 11. Abdullazada R. 14. Allouch S. 20. Celik M. 10. Gomis D. (C) 3. Lytvyn D. 7. Maddi 96. Muradov I. 83. Quliyev N. 16. Rustamov E.	41. Nazirov A. (C) 5. Acka S. 11. Ahmadzada R. 14. Alicanov E. 30. Guima 7. Isayev M. 6. Kuliyev E. 3. Mutsinzi A. 10. Papunashvili G. 19. Soumah S. 90. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
67. Abasov R. 18. Ahmadov S. 44. Bilali A. 25. Mammadzada N. (G) 77. Nabiyev F. 74. Nabiyev Y. 4. Nikolic M. 99. Nshuti I. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 88. Shiraliyev H. 5. Sofir G.	91. Alakbarov M. 53. Asurov S. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 70. Djibrilla I. 17. Gomis I. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 18. Juninho Maranhao 48. Muradov R. 29. Nuriyev C. 4. Ruan Renato 43. Suleymanzade A.
Coaches
Mammadov E.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Celik M. 🟨,
32', Abbasov M. 🟨,
33', Kuliyev E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Abbasov M. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
67', Quliyev N. ↓, Sofir G. ↑,
69', Kuliyev E. ↓, Gomis I. ↑,
69', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Juninho Maranhao ↑,
69', Guima ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
72', Nuriyev C. 🟨,
80', Acka S. ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
83', Gomis D. ↓, Abasov R. ↑,
83', Maddi ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Volkovi D. ⚽,
90+2', Papunashvili G. ↓, Muradov R. ↑,

Preview

Zira is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 0.

Səbail is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zira is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Səbail won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.05.25	Shamakhi - Səbail	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Səbail - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Sabah - Səbail	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Səbail - Turan Tovuz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLLT
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
02.05.25	Zira - Turan Tovuz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Kapaz - Zira	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Zira - Sumgayit	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Neftchi Baku - Zira	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
09.03.25	Zira - Səbail	1:0
21.12.24	Səbail - Zira	0:1
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1
25.05.24	Zira - Səbail	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
08.02.24	Zira - Səbail	3:0
30.01.24	Səbail - Zira	1:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
22.01.24	Səbail - Zira	0:0

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