Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.25	2.04
	3.61	3.33	2.11
	3.58	3.32	2.06
	3.45	3.24	2
	3.3	3.25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.56)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
27%

Draw
28.3%

Belenenses
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

25.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

SC Lusitânia - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 42. Biai B. (C) 15. Breno T. 51. Derick 53. do Rio P. 24. Edu 17. Isabelinha 50. Jefinho 27. Legatheaux A. 70. Mosquera D. 9. Souza N.	22. Grilo D. (G) 5. Brazido D. 16. Carvalho R. (C) 23. Fernandes X. 12. Gabriel Passos 17. Horta Leitao D. 6. Maria G. 10. Moninhas T. 21. Morgado T. 19. Triana C. 14. Varela J.
Substitutes
14. Amaral A. 8. Azevedo T. 48. Cabral G. 37. Carvalho S. B. 3. Fontes B. 32. Gunjo J. 72. Sa D. (G) 77. Sidney C. 5. Silva C.	3. Barbosa A. 7. Conceicao R. 25. Domingues R. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 24. Neto T. (G) 9. Pereira R. 39. Pinto A. 4. Tomas N. 70. Zakari B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Fernandes X. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Carvalho R. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Souza N. ⚽,
14', 🟨,
14', 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Jefinho ⚽,
38', Legatheaux A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
56', Fernandes X. ↓, Gomes Tavares D. ↑,
60', Jefinho ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
70', Maria G. ↓, Domingues R. ↑,
70', Moninhas T. ↓, Zakari B. ↑,
74', Souza N. ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
76', Triana C. 🟨,
77', Zakari B. 🟨,
78', Triana C. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', Domingues R. 🟨,
90', Derick ↓, Amaral A. ↑,
90', Biai B. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

SC Lusitânia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belenenses is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Belenenses will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
01.12.24	1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	SC Lusitânia - São João de Ver	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	SC Lusitânia - Caldas	1:4 ✺
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
01.12.24	Belenenses - Atlético CP	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Belenenses - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Caldas - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Académica Coimbra - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Belenenses - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
26.08.24	Belenenses - SC Lusitânia	1:0

SC Lusitânia - Belenenses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide