Match Info

Date: 2 October 2020, Friday


	SD Aucas		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.25	6.5
	1.42	4.1	6.4	Watch
	1.42	4.5	5.6
	1.45	4.61	6.86
	1.42	4.4	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.8	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.43 ↓ (4.72)	6.32 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
64.6%

Draw
20.8%

LDU Portoviejo
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.8%

16.9%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

LDU Portoviejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Aucas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

SD Aucas - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently LDU Portoviejo have a series of home games.

In this match Aucas is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.09.20	Olmedo - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Orense - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
13.09.20	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
06.09.20	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	3:1 ✺
01.09.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWWL
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Macará	2:2 ✺
18.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Olmedo	2:1 ✺
11.09.20	Mushuc Runa - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLTL

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