Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 17

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	SD Aucas		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.10	7.00
	1.37	4.35	7.7	Watch
	1.39	4.66	8.93
	1.38	4.46	8.88	Watch
	1.35	4.6	8.8
	1.39	4.35	8.2	Watch
	1.36	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	4.39 ↑ (3.98)	8.2 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
67.6%

Draw
21.1%

Guayaquil City
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for SD Aucas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

SD Aucas - Guayaquil City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piedra H. (G) 37. Zova A. 3. Ontaneda J. (C) 2. Morales S. 28. Quinonez R. 14. Tapiero S. 10. Preciado E. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 11. Bolanos R. 29. Arroyo L.	1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 6. Arias R. 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 23. Bolanos M. (C) 11. Mero E. 80. Gonzalez P.
Substitutes
1. Chaves I. (G) 91. Luna D. 33. Porozo S. 5. Serpa T. 36. Sotomayor N. 57. Vera M.	51. Cabezas E. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 15. Sambonino K. 28. Vivar J.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Laurino S. 🟨,
29', Napa G. 🟨,
33', Morales S. 🟨,
39', Arias R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Arroyo L. ⚽, Quinonez R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Preciado E. 🟨,
69', Bolanos R. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
75', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
75', Arias R. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
79', Laurino S. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
85', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
85', Bolanos M. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
90+1', Preciado E. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
90+1', Arroyo L. ↓, Vera M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.

Aucas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guayaquil City has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Aucas is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.05.26	Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	SD Aucas - Manta	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.05.26	San Antonio - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLW
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.05.26	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	2:4 ✺
23.05.26	Mushuc Runa - Guayaquil City	2:2 ✺
18.05.26	Guayaquil City - Orense	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.05.26	Astillero - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:1
01.10.23	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	0:1
28.04.23	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0
27.08.22	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	2:1
16.04.22	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	4:0
27.11.21	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:0
17.07.21	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	3:0

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