Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 1

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	LDU Quito		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.04	6.36
				Watch
	1.53	3.9	6
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.25)	3.97 ↓ (5.2)	6.18 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
61.2%

Draw
23.6%

Vinotinto
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.9%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

LDU Quito - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (C) 31. de la Cruz D. I. 4. Ade R. 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 33. Quinonez L. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 8. Gruezo C. 15. Villamil G. 20. Cornejo F. 11. Estrada M. 7. Pastran L.	25. Mitre L. (G) 23. Gomez L. 4. Aguirre A. (C) 36. Nardelli G. 2. Iriarte I. 18. Ushina K. 10. Luna D. 15. Larotonda C. 11. Mina A. 9. Molina N. 7. Lugo J.
Substitutes
6. Aimar D. 10. Alvarado A. 9. Alzugaray L. 24. Cabeza A. 27. Caicedo M. 21. Castillo E. 2. Erique Villigua Y. H. 13. Klinger Y. 17. Mina F. 5. Minda K. 32. Rodriguez J. 1. Valle G. (G)	8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 26. Hernandez E. 1. Lopez J. (G) 40. Mera F. 3. Micolta C. 17. Monti R. 6. Ona C.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Grabowski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gomez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Aguirre A. 🟨,
59', Villamil G. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
60', Gruezo C. 🟨,
67', Molina N. ↓, Monti R. ↑,
71', Gruezo C. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
71', Mina A. 🟨,
72', Lugo J. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
72', Luna D. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
75', Mina A. 🟨,
82', Nardelli G. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
82', Allala Menendez G. F. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
90+3', Hernandez E. 🟨,
90+4', Cabeza A. 🟨,
90+8', de la Cruz D. I. 🟥,

Preview

Vinotinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match LDU Quito is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Super Cup
01.02.25	El Nacional - LDU Quito	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.25	LDU Quito - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.12.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWW
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.10.24	Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	3:2 ✺
24.10.24	Chacaritas - Vinotinto	1:5 ✺
16.10.24	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWW

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