Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	SD Logroñés		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.31	2.98	3.46
	2.27	2.98	3.46
	2.23	2.97	3.38
	2.15	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.36 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
41.4%

Draw
31.2%

Tarazona
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

SD Logroñés - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 6. Elosegi G. 4. Murua J. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 3. Paredes J. 19. Garcia T. 8. Castellano J. 7. Fernandez O. 20. Sabater D. 11. Carmona P. 17. Escobar J.	13. Ramirez Y. (G) 2. Borja 20. Pedreno M. 16. Amoah I. 3. Cocca M. 18. Areso J. 10. Cano F. 5. Keita B. 15. Gil A. 21. Guiu A. 11. Cubillas D.
Substitutes
21. Arratia S. 15. Buyla J. 14. Cova A. 16. Ezkurdia I. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 18. Manny 13. Marti O. (G) 2. Trespalacios A.	8. Alonso G. 1. Azon J. (G) 14. Bueno R. 22. Carlos J. 6. Carro M. 19. Errahaly M. 17. Kortazar M. 7. Pichin Dani

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

SD Logroñés has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tarazona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tarazona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SD Logroñés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams SD Logroñés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Fuenlabrada - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	SD Logroñés - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Lugo - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	SD Logroñés - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Leonesa - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Andratx - Tarazona	3:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Tarazona - Sestao	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.02.21	Tarazona - SD Logroñés	1:2
08.11.20	SD Logroñés - Tarazona	3:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.05.18	SD Logroñés - Tarazona	1:1
20.05.18	Tarazona - SD Logroñés	3:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.12.17	SD Logroñés - Tarazona	1:0

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