Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Benevento		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.03	3.25	4.37
	2.03	3.35	3.75	Watch
	2	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.15)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.9 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benevento
46.5%

Draw
29.3%

SPAL
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	29.6%	14.8%

Benevento - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Benevento has the most likely position - 19 (29.17%), project points - 38, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (83%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

SPAL has the most likely position - 20 (32.99%), project points - 37, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (88%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, importance 48, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Benevento won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.04.23	Bari - Benevento	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Pisa - Benevento	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Benevento - Como	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Ternana - Benevento	2:2 ✺
01.03.23	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
01.04.23	SPAL - Ternana	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Nuova Cosenza - SPAL	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	SPAL - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	SPAL - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.11.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:2
06.05.22	Benevento - SPAL	1:2
16.01.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.21	Benevento - SPAL	2:1 ET
Italian Serie A
06.05.18	SPAL - Benevento	2:0
17.12.17	Benevento - SPAL	1:2
Italian Serie B
21.01.17	SPAL - Benevento	2:0

Upcoming Matches