Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)


	SPAL		Cesena

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.2	1.66
	5	3.25	1.72	Watch
	5.86	3.14	1.75
	5.86	3.14	1.76
	5	3.2	1.67
	5.32	3.13	1.71
	5	3.15	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
17.5%

Draw
29%

Cesena
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.2%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.7%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

SPAL - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alfonso E. (G) 2. Fiordaliso A. 27. Peda P. 13. Bassoli A. 33. Tripaldelli A. 8. Collodel R. 25. Carraro M. 5. Contiliano N. 37. Maistro F. 11. Rabbi S. 71. Edera S.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 28. Silvestri L. 26. Piacentini M. 17. Adamo E. 20. De Rose F. 70. Francesconi M. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 18. Corazza S.
Substitutes
7. Antenucci M. 3. Bruscagin M. 77. Buchel M. 19. Dalmonte N. 28. Del Favero M. (G) 44. Dumbravanu D. 17. Iglio G. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 9. Orfei A. 14. Parravicini F. 80. Puletto F. 75. Rao E. 97. Serigne Deme 4. Valentini N.	4. Chiarello R. 13. Coccolo L. 25. David A. 8. Hraiech S. 10. Kargbo A. 22. Montalti W. (G) 11. Ogunseye R. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G) 5. Varone I.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches SPAL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cesena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.24	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	SPAL - Olbia	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pineto - SPAL	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Gubbio - SPAL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Cesena - Olbia	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Perugia - Cesena	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Cesena - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Recanatese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Cesena - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.23	Cesena - SPAL	3:1
Club Friendly
08.08.19	Cesena - SPAL	2:3
Italian Serie B
11.03.17	SPAL - Cesena	2:0
14.10.16	Cesena - SPAL	1:1

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