Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Ternana		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.25	Watch
	1.9	3.11	4.59
	1.85	3.13	4.4	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4
	1.83	3	4.51	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	4.38 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
49.3%

Draw
29.8%

Sassari Torres
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

29.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ternana - Sassari Torres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 20. Donati F. 17. Kerrigan L. 23. Majer Z. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 30. Orellana M. 27. Ferrante A. 9. Dubickas E.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 13. Baldi M. 23. Antonelli N. 6. Nunziatini F. 77. Zecca G. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 4. Brentan M. 27. Zambataro E. 7. Di Stefano L. 16. Sala M. 11. Diakite A.
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 19. Capuano M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 16. Garetto M. 2. Kurti 10. Leonardi S. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Pagliari M. 18. Panico G. 32. Pettinari S. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.	25. Bonin L. 21. Carboni M. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 14. Idda R. 15. Liviero M. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 99. Sorrentino 32. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Nunziatini F. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Diakite A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Nunziatini F. 🟨,
42', Di Stefano L. ↓, Idda R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kerrigan L. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
46', Diakite A. ↓, Zanandrea G. ↑,
46', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
59', Zecca G. 🟨,
61', Majer Z. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
61', Mastinu G. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
62', Zecca G. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
70', Maestrelli A. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
70', Orellana M. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
82', Brentan M. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
83', Vallocchia A. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Liviero M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Potenza - Ternana	1:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Carpi - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.01.26	Ternana - Potenza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ternana - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLW
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Sassari Torres - Bra	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pianese - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1
02.03.25	Ternana - Sassari Torres	3:1
20.10.24	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1

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