Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	UAI Urquiza		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.45
	2.65	2.9	2.85	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.6
	2.65	2.79	2.84	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.62
	2.59	2.91	2.78
	2.65	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)	2.86 ↓ (3.3)	2.71 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
34%

Draw
32.2%

Villa San Carlos
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bottini A. (G) 2. Ordonez C. 14. Postel F. 3. Alaniz M. 11. Ismael Aguirre G. M. 5. Arcuri L. 15. Rios N. 17. Sciacqua S. 9. Brito M. 8. Ingratti J. 19. Scarcella R.	1. Bangardino P. (G) 5. Acosta A. 4. Lloyaiy A. 6. Machin L. 13. Buscaglia S. 17. Cairo F. 15. Guallama F. . Silva J. 7. Lugones A. 11. Samaniego M. 9. Zagert E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Silva J. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
31', Alaniz M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Ismael Aguirre G. M. ⚽,
37', Ismael Aguirre G. M. 🟨,
45', Garraza M. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
45+1', Acosta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Buscaglia S. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
56', Zagert E. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Ferro L. ⚽,
58', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
68', Brito M. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
68', Vazquez A. ↓, Sciacqua S. ↑,
68', Ismael Aguirre G. M. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
74', Arcuri L. 🟨,
78', Samaniego M. ↓, Alvarez R. ↑,
79', Ingratti J. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
82', Madero P. ↓, Galli F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UAI Urquiza won 2.

UAI Urquiza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villa San Carlos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UAI Urquiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches UAI Urquiza won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:25 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams UAI Urquiza won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
20.04.25	Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	UAI Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ferrocarril Midland - UAI Urquiza	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Acassuso - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLLT
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
19.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
29.06.24	UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos	1:0
10.02.24	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	3:1
16.07.23	UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos	0:0
18.03.23	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	0:0
06.08.22	UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos	1:0
09.04.22	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	3:1
09.10.21	Villa San Carlos - UAI Urquiza	1:1

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