The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 55.2%
Draw 26.3%
Villa San Carlos 18.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.4%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29.8%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UAI Urquiza's performance.
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa San Carlos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UAI Urquiza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
UAI Urquiza - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villa San Carlos will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 7. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. 9. Mesa F. 11. Pesse V. 6. Postel F. 3. Prado F. 2. Rodriguez V.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 10. Cairo F. 3. Canete S. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 6. Machin L. 11. Mussis F. 2. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Prado F. ↓, Caceres A. ↑,
62', Ibanez E. ↓, Arcuri L. ↑,
62', Galli F. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
69', Cairo F. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
72', Pesse V. 🟨,
74', Rios N. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Scacchi S. ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, Diaz E. ⚽,
81', Diaz E. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 21st in the Relegation - Primera C (Apertura: ) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 1.
In recent outings, UAI Urquiza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Villa San Carlos is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
UAI Urquiza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, UAI Urquiza is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza has recorded 4 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:27 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UAI Urquiza against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:8 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Villa San Carlos
41
12
14
15
40:45
-5
50
21
UAI Urquiza
41
7
21
13
25:36
-11
42
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Viain I. (G) 
Prado F. 
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