Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+
Brazil	23:00	Disney+
Chile	23:00	Disney+
Colombia	21:00	Disney+
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	21:00	Disney+
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+


	Sacramento Republic		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.20	3.70
	1.86	3.25	3.70
	1.93	3.45	4.13
	1.96	3.5	3.67	Watch
	1.91	3.35	4.05
	1.88	3.49	4.00	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
48.7%

Draw
27.4%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Colorado Springs Switchbacks have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sacramento Republic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sacramento Republic (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Sacramento Republic (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento Republic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. (C) 5. Timmer J. 24. Casas J. 27. Crisostomo D. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 3. Spaulding R. 26. Jennings C.	1. Herrera C. (G) 5. Mahoney M. (C) 24. Maples T. 12. Foster I. 97. Burner P. 8. Daroma F. 6. Williams S. 18. Rocha A. 27. Tejada J. 10. Perez A. 90. Bennett K.
Substitutes
11. Ajago F. 22. Benitez M. 71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 7. Malango M. 31. Randolph J. (G) 16. Wolff T.	13. Echevarria S. 7. Fjeldberg J. 11. Jamison B. 14. Lacroix D. 21. Magee T. 22. Shutler C. (G) 80. Williams D.
Coaches
Collins N.	McCann A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Perez A. 🟨,
43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kleemann F. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Maples T. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
56', Timmer J. 🟨,
62', Willey B. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
62', Jennings C. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
63', Perez A. ↓, Echevarria S. ↑,
71', Daroma F. ↓, Magee T. ↑,
71', Burner P. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
74', Herrera C. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Edwards K. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
78', Wolff T. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
88', Rocha A. ↓, Lacroix D. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 3.

Sacramento Republic is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Colorado Springs have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sacramento Republic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sacramento Republic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Sacramento Republic has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:16 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sacramento Republic against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:7 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
03.10.26	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
30.09.26	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sacramento Republic - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTW
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
03.10.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Oakland Roots	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Detroit City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:1
20.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:2
22.03.25	Sacramento Republic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:2
26.10.24	Sacramento Republic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1
06.04.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:2
23.09.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	2:0
15.04.23	Sacramento Republic - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:0

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