Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)


	Sacramento Republic		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.29	3.5	2.86
	2.3	3.48	2.86
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.32	3.62	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	2.78 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
40.4%

Draw
26.7%

San Jose Earthquakes
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sacramento Republic - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 2 - 40%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. 6. Wiedt S. 3. Viader D. 8. Lopez R. (C) 96. Fernandes L. 19. Ross N. 7. Amann T. 23. Phillips K.	98. Jackson J. (G) 3. Marie P. 24. Munie D. 15. Beason T. (C) 33. Verhoeven O. 6. Morales A. 30. Tsakiris N. 16. Skahan J. 17. Bouda O. 28. Kikanovic B. 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
9. Herrera J. 15. Jauregui R. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 10. Parano C. 17. Ricketts J. 40. Sanchez A. 55. Ukaegbu C.	10. Espinoza C. 23. Lopez H. 9. Pellegrino A. 22. Thompson T. 4. Wilson Valdez B. R. 25. Yarbrough W. (G) 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Kikanovic B. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bouda O. ↓, Espinoza C. ↑,
46', Morales A. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
46', Verhoeven O. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
53', Judd P. 🟨,
56', Lopez R. 🟨,
59', Lopez R. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
67', Marie P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
70', Amann T. 🟨,
79', Fernandes L. 🟨,
79', Timmer J. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
79', Phillips K. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
80', Tsakiris N. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Espinoza C. ⚽,
87', Viader D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
87', Amann T. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 1)
100', 2 - 3, Lopez H. ⚽, Judd P. (A),
104', Espinoza C. 🟨,
105', Kikanovic B. ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
105+1', Wiedt S. 🟨,
106', 3 - 3, Fernandes L. ⚽, Jauregui R. (A),
107', 4 - 3, Herrera J. ⚽, Parano C. (A),

Preview

Sacramento Republic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Jose is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sacramento Republic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
11.05.24	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Sacramento Republic - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWW
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
18.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
15.05.24	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	4:2 ✺
11.05.24	Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
MLS
04.05.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
25.05.22	Sacramento Republic - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0
11.06.19	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	4:3
Club Friendly
25.02.17	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	4:1
US Open Cup
16.06.15	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	3:2 penalties
11.06.14	San Jose Earthquakes - Sacramento Republic	2:1

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