Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2	3.6	3.3	Watch
	1.91	3.89	3.55
	1.84	3.72	3.46	Watch
	2	3.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)	3.32 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
47.4%

Draw
25%

Oakland Roots
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 5. Stoneman G. 13. Riley C. 15. Corona J. 4. Guzman C. 17. Martin C. 7. Bodily B. 6. Adams C. 9. Conway E. 8. Damus R. 14. Perez A.	20. Blanchette P. (G) 30. Tamacas B. 21. Klimenta E. (C) 13. Hackshaw N. 14. Barbir D. 15. Gomez D. 8. Donasiyano I. 2. Njie B. 18. Pelaez A. 17. Rodriguez J. 22. Cedeno J.
Substitutes
27. Bailey T. (G) 23. Chilaka M. 50. Gnaulati X. 10. Guido A. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N. 11. Moshobane T.	23. Diaz M. 7. Matsoso N. 10. Mfeka L. 6. Morad T. 11. Reid T. 48. Saldana L. 60. Syrel T. (G)
Coaches
MIller N.	Delgado N.

Preview

San Diego Loyal is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 0.

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oakland Roots is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Diego Loyal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-16.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
04.10.23	El Paso Locomotive - San Diego Loyal	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
20.09.23	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Louisville City - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
04.10.23	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Oakland Roots - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Oakland Roots - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.05.23	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:0
23.10.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	0:3
24.08.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	1:3
13.04.22	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:2
24.10.21	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	3:4
22.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:1
11.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	0:0

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