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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 55.5%
Draw 24%
Kamatamare Sanuki 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
27.1%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
26%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 19. Okita S. 5. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 8. Kambe K. 15. Maeda T. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
55. Aoki K. (G) 34. Namimoto R. 30. Oka H. 6. Miyazaki S. 29. Tao K. 33. Kawakami S. 66. Woo S. 60. Morikawa Y. 11. Sano R. 99. Yonezawa R. 10. Goto Y.
Substitutes
34. Handai M. 16. Kato S. 20. Kawabata Y. 1. Miura M. (G) 11. Muto Y. 22. Okuyama Y. 93. Phochai T. 26. Sato S. 6. Tokunaga Y.
16. Arita S. 86. Asada H. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 5. Kokubun M. 20. Lee Gi-San 17. Makiyama K. 77. Murakami Y. 40. Takashima S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Namimoto R. ⚽, Goto Y. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Tao K. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Shimakawa T. ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Shimakawa T. ⚽, Maeda T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Kawakami S. 🟨,
52', Woo S. 🟨,
63', Sano R. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,
70', Sasaki K. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
70', Nakayama R. ↓, Phochai T. ↑,
70', Oka H. ↓, Lee Gi-San ↑,
70', Yonezawa R. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
70', Kawakami S. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,
78', Shimakawa T. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
88', Namimoto R. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
89', Sugimoto R. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
89', Maeda T. ↓, Kawabata Y. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Okita S. ⚽, Tokunaga Y. (A),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs and 19th in the J3 League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 2.
Sagamihara has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kamatamare is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sagamihara carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sagamihara has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sagamihara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).