The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 46.6%
Draw 27.6%
Ryūkyū 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
27.8%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sagamihara - Ryūkyū Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 10 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sagamihara: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sagamihara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 20. Yamauchi R. 54. Watahiki K. 26. Nishikubo S. 41. Takusari Y. 27. Nishiyama T. 7. Kawano R. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Rafael Furtado
16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 11. Ishiura T. 18. Hiramatsu S. 7. Motegi S. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.
Substitutes
97. Fujinuma T. 31. Inose K. (G) 15. Maeda T. 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 8. Osako R. 16. Takano R. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.
17. Einaga T. 39. Ihara A. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 20. Nagai S. 24. Sato Y. 89. Takagi D. 28. Tsuha J. 47. Wade M. 22. Yamato Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Nakayama R. (Pen),
30', Kawano R. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Rafael Furtado ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Asakawa H. ⚽,
62', Kawano R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
72', Rafael Furtado ↓, Fujinuma T. ↑,
72', Nakayama R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Maeda T. ⚽,
74', Sota K. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
74', Asakawa H. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
80', Ishiura T. ↓, Sato Y. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Fujinuma T. ⚽, Watahiki K. (A),
82', Takusari Y. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
82', Sugimoto R. ↓, Osako R. ↑,
87', Motegi S. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
87', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1.
Sagamihara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ryūkyū's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sagamihara could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sagamihara - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Baumann N. (G) 
Kato D. 
Rafael Furtado 
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