Match Info

Date: 5 June 2021, Saturday


	Sagamihara		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.2	3.35	1.7	Watch
	5.4	3.35	1.65
	5.96	3.59	1.69
	5.5	3.3	1.65
	5.25	3.64	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (4.58)	3.5 ↑ (3.32)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
17.2%

Draw
26.8%

V-Varen Nagasaki
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

28.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.3%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that V-Varen Nagasaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	5.4%	83.8%

Sagamihara - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).

Sagamihara has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
30.05.21	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
27.05.21	Sagamihara - Ehime	0:1 ✺
15.05.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
09.05.21	Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
05.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
29.05.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
23.05.21	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
15.05.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - JEF United Chiba	2:2 ✺
09.05.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
05.05.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWL

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