The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 33.5%
Draw 30.2%
Avispa Fukuoka 36.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.5%
26.2%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
24.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagan Tosu's performance.
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 43. Yoshino K. 41. Matsuoka H. 24. Yamauchi K. 8. Narahara Y. 20. Nakahara H. 13. Jojo K. 42. Goto H.
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 38. Miya D. 56. Sakai Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 17. Akino H. 11. Miki T. 52. Takemoto S. 14. Nago S. 18. Sato S. 49. Maeda I.
Substitutes
18. Hyon R. 1. Izumori R. (G) 3. Kamiyama K. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Park Ho-Min 7. Sakamoto K. 6. Sakurai T. 9. Takahashi T. 28. Yoshida M.
32. Brown A. 25. Kitajima Y. 53. Maeda H. 55. Maeda K. 24. Obata Y. (G) 8. Okuno K. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 33. Yamawaki K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Goto H. 🟨,
5', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Yoshino K. ⚽, Jojo K. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Miki T. ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
53', Takemoto S. ↓, Tsujioka Y. ↑,
60', Maeda I. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
61', Goto H. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
61', Narahara Y. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Yamauchi K. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
76', Jojo K. ↓, Nishizawa K. ↑,
76', Yoshino K. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
77', Miya D. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
77', Sato S. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
87', Nakahara H. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
87', Kitajima Y. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
90+1', Yamauchi K. ↓, Sakurai T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tosu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Avispa Fukuoka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tosu has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tosu against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.6:0.6 per game).
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Park Ho-Min 
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