The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 23%
Draw 27.3%
Kashima Antlers 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
27.2%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
26.6%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
18.2%
63.6%
Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Kashima will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 34. Nagasawa S. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 28. Maruhashi Y. 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 23. Kikuchi T. 88. Naganuma Y. 99. Marcelo Ryan
1. Hayakawa T. (G) 32. Nono K. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 2. Anzai K. 13. Chinen K. 25. Sano K. 15. Fujii T. 14. Higuchi Y. 7. Cavric A. 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 6. Fukuta A. 18. Hino S. 41. Kabayama R. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 13. Yokoyama A.
77. Guilherme Parede 29. Kajikawa Y. (G) 4. Milosavljevic R. 36. Morooka S. 30. Nago S. 33. Nakama H. 16. Sugai H.
Coaches
Kawai K.
Popovic R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Nono K. ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
23', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
30', 1 - 1, Kawahara S. ⚽, Tezuka K. (A),
39', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Tezuka K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Higuchi Y. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
59', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
71', Cavric A. ↓, Milosavljevic R. ↑,
71', Chinen K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
72', Kikuchi T. ↓, Fukuta A. ↑,
79', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
86', 3 - 2, Suzuki Y. (Pen),
86', Nono K. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
86', Sekigawa I. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
88', 4 - 2, Fukuta A. ⚽,
90+6', Tezuka K. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
90+6', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0.
Tosu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Kashima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Kashima is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18-32.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
Watch
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Park Il-gyu (G) 
Nagasawa S. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Cavric A. 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
Milosavljevic R. 
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