Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)


	Sagan Tosu		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.55
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.62	3	2.72
	2.73	3.3	2.57
	2.57	3.24	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.3	2.56
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.91)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)	2.58 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
35.2%

Draw
29.4%

Kataller Toyama
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagan Tosu's form might have worsened.

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kataller Toyama's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matsubara S. (G) 26. Ando T. 4. Imazu Y. 3. Kamiyama K. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 20. Nakahara H. 8. Narahara Y. 36. Qiu Zhongyi 29. Tanaka Y. 24. Yamauchi K.	31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 55. Kunitake Y. 2. Matsumoto H. 8. Matsuoka D. 32. Mizoguchi S. 30. Nakashima Y. 22. Shiina N. 34. Takenaka G. 40. Takeuchi Y. 48. Ueda K. 25. Yasumitsu S.
Substitutes
44. Abe K. 31. Fujishima E. (G) 18. Hyon R. 76. Isotani S. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Park Ho-Min 11. Shiohama R. 9. Takahashi T. 21. Toyoda A. 28. Yoshida M.	99. Harada G. (G) 5. Imase J. 23. Nishiya S. 13. Ogawa K. 6. Sera S. 9. Yoshihira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Kamiyama K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Yoshida M. ⚽,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tosu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Tochigi City	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	0:4 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama	2:1 penalties ✺
30.05.26	Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Nara Club - Kataller Toyama	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
08.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu	3:1
23.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	1:0

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