Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 4, ART Sport 4
Mexico	Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Saint-Étienne		Lens

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.75	4.1	1.55
	5.9	4.45	1.52	Watch
	6.04	4.47	1.55
	6.08	4.31	1.57
	5.8	4.2	1.55
	5.9	4.56	1.6	Watch
	5.9	4.45	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.95 ↑ (4.97)	4.34 ↑ (3.86)	1.55 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
16.1%

Draw
22.1%

Lens
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.6%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

25.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	30.4%	65.2%

Saint Étienne - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Lens will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 5. Abdelhamid Y. (C) 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 29. Moueffek A. 4. Ekwah P. 37. Amougou M. 18. Cafaro M. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Davitashvili Z.	30. Samba B. (C) 4. Danso K. 25. Khusanov A. 14. Medina F. 29. Frankowski P. 28. Thomasson A. 18. Diouf A. 13. Jhoanner Chavez 11. Fulgini A. 8. Nzola M. 7. Sotoca F.
Substitutes
21. Batubinsika D. 20. Boakye A. 6. Bouchouari B. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 14. Mouton L. 32. Stassin L. 10. Tardieu F.	24. Gradit J. 36. Labeau Lascary R. 26. Mendy N. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 1. Petric D. (G) 34. Pouilly T. 22. Said W. 20. Sarr M. 21. Zaroury A.
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Frankowski P. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
31', Medina F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Nzola M. 🟨,
61', Amougou M. 🟨,
64', Nzola M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
68', Cafaro M. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
68', Moueffek A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
68', Amougou M. ↓, Boakye A. ↑,
73', Medina F. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
73', Fulgini A. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
74', Sissoko I. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
82', Abdelhamid Y. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,
90', Sotoca F. ↓, Said W. ↑,
90', Jhoanner Chavez ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lens is a favorite.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Knee Injury) Cornud P. (Muscle Injury) Macon Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Shoulder Injury) Ojediran H. (Thigh Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Davitashvili Z. (Injury) Monconduit T. (Thigh Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Danso K. (Injury) El Aynaoui N. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Ankle Injury) Koffi H. (Hip Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
05.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Nantes - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
13.09.24	Saint-Étienne - Lille	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Brest - Saint-Étienne	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTLWL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
06.10.24	Strasbourg - Lens	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Lens - Nice	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Rennes - Lens	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Lens - Lyon	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Monaco - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
15.01.22	Saint-Étienne - Lens	1:2
15.08.21	Lens - Saint-Étienne	2:2
03.03.21	Saint-Étienne - Lens	2:3
03.10.20	Lens - Saint-Étienne	2:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Lens - Saint-Étienne	0:1
French Ligue 1
06.02.15	Saint-Étienne - Lens	3:3
21.09.14	Lens - Saint-Étienne	0:1

Upcoming Matches