Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belgium	20:45	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Royal Antwerp

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.8	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.59	7.1
	1.37	4.92	8.44
	1.36	4.4	8
	1.38	4.86	8.45	Watch
	1.45	4.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.57 ↑ (4.53)	8 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
67.7%

Draw
20.5%

Royal Antwerp
11.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Royal Antwerp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Saint Gilloise - Royal Antwerp Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Antwerp will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Union SG (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Union SG (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chambaere V. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 11. Guilherme Smith 10. Ait El Hadj A. 7. Fuseini M. 12. David P.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 4. Tsunashima Y. 25. Kouyate K. 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 17. Renders S. 8. Praet D. 30. Scott C. 5. Foulon D. 14. Valencia A. 18. Janssen V. (C) 7. Kerk G.
Substitutes
9. Biondic M. 19. Francois G. 20. Giger M. 18. Kavlashvili G. (G) 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 17. Schoofs R. 31. Stevens Y. 29. Sylla M. 21. Teunckens J. (G) 23. Zeneli B.	76. Achihi O. 10. Babadi I. 23. Bijl G. 43. Hamdaoui Y. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 56. Tuypens E. 79. Vandeplas G. 20. Van Helden R. 21. Verstraeten A.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Kouyate K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Van Den Bosch Z. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Valencia A. ⚽, Janssen V. (A),
66', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
66', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
68', Chambaere V. 🟨,
76', David P. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
87', Van De Perre K. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
87', Fuseini M. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Sykes R. ⚽, Khalaili A. (A),
90+1', Kerk G. ↓, Hamdaoui Y. ↑,
90+1', Valencia A. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
90+8', Mac Allister K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3.

Union SG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Antwerp has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Union SG is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T. (Ankle Injury) Niang O. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Back Injury) Scherpen K. (Injury)

There will not play in Antwerp: Benitez M. (Hamstring Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hairemans G. (Knee Injury) Van Helden R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Florucz R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: Somers T. (Injury)

We predict that Union SG will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Royale Union SG	8	6	2	0	22:4	18	20
13	Antwerp	8	2	1	5	12:20	-8	7

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Royale Union SG: 24.83% Antwerp: 0.94%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.02.26	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
11.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.02.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.02.26	Royal Antwerp - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
12.02.26	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	0:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.26	KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp	2:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
05.02.26	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.01.26	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.07.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	1:1
17.05.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	0:4
29.03.25	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	5:1
Belgian Cup
08.01.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	5:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1
15.09.24	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	2:0
Belgian Cup
09.05.24	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	1:0

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