Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
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Russia	Okko Sport
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Serbia	Arena Sport 9
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.41	3.34
	2.26	3.4	3.23	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.36	3.47	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
42.3%

Draw
28.4%

Union Berlin
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Wolfsburg - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Union Berlin (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 14. Seelt J. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 27. Arnold M. (C) 24. Eriksen C. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 9. Amoura M.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 34. Nsoki S. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 19. Haberer J. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 13. Schafer A. 10. Ansah I. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong
Substitutes
41. Burger J. 37. Hensel P. 42. Katz B. 34. Neininger T. 17. Pejcinovic D. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Skov Olsen A. 32. Svanberg M. 3. Vavro D.	9. Burcu L. 7. Burke O. 23. Ilic A. 18. Juranovic J. 33. Kral A. 4. Leite D. 31. Raab M. (G) 15. Rothe T. 21. Skarke T.
Coaches
Bauer D.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Wimmer P. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
22', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Amoura M. ⚽, Kumbedi S. (A),
45+2', Eriksen C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
57', Schafer A. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
57', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burke O. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Majer L. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
65', Wimmer P. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Nsoki S. ⚽,
70', Trimmel C. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
70', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
73', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
74', Majer L. 🟨,
78', Nsoki S. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
79', Burke O. 🟨,
90', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
90+1', Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Eriksen C. ↓, Vavro D. ↑,
90+2', Majer L. ↓, Hensel P. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Wolfsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.

Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Jenz M. (Muscle Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Muller M. (Concussion) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Khedira R. (Yellow Cards) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Vini Souza (Groin Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Wolfsburg - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.18%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- Union Berlin
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
06.04.25	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:0
23.11.24	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:0
10.02.24	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:0
16.09.23	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	2:1
12.03.23	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:1
German DFB Pokal
31.01.23	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	2:1
German Bundesliga
18.09.22	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	2:0

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