Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free


	Rodez		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.6
	2.72	3.3	2.42	Watch
	2.83	3.44	2.52
	2.85	3.43	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.78	3.39	2.52	Watch
	2.83	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.37)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	2.46 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodez
34%

Draw
28.1%

Red Star
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Rodez - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 54.5%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 6. Mendes J. 26. Benchamma S. 28. Saka M. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.	16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 98. Hachem R. (C) 3. Huard M. 22. Sylla D. 27. Danger B. 81. Haag G. 11. Cisse K. 25. Trani G. 9. Ba P. M. 7. Durand D.
Substitutes
30. Crombez E. (G) 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 22. Joly O. 9. Nagera K. 19. Tebily H. 27. Trouillet A. 8. Younoussa W.	29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 5. Escartin J. 21. Hachem A. 23. Ikanga J. 12. Kany V. 10. Khaoui S. E.
Coaches
Santini D.	Poirier G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Saka M. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Danger B. ⚽, Haag G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Trani G. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
57', Durand D. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
60', Jolibois C. 🟨,
65', Saka M. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
65', Benchamma S. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
71', Arconte T. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
72', Ba P. M. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
72', Sylla D. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
84', Younoussa W. 🟨,
87', Balde I. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
88', Mendes J. ↓, Joly O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Rodez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Red Star has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Rodez: Margueron L. (Injury) Ponti R. (Injury)

There will not play in Red Star: Cabral K. (Red Card) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Red Star: Lemonnier P. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92% Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Rodez - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
23.01.26	Nancy - Rodez	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Rodez - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Rodez - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Troyes - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTTWT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
24.01.26	Red Star - Boulogne	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Grenoble - Red Star	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Red Star - Reims	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Bastia - Red Star	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLT?

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.10.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1
28.03.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1
03.01.25	Rodez - Red Star	0:2
French Ligue 3
06.04.18	Rodez - Red Star	1:2
17.11.17	Red Star - Rodez	1:0

Upcoming Matches