Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 24

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Salernitana		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.42	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.44	3.1	3.3
	2.42	3.16	3.35
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.44	3.27	3.33	Watch
	2.43	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.49)	3.15 ↓ (3.37)	3.21 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Empoli
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	34.5%	20.7%

Salernitana - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 26 - 44.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 12 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 32% – 57.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 5. Boateng J. 24. Pellegrino M. 59. Zanoli A. 25. Maggiore G. 26. Basic T. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 20. Kastanos G. 10. Dia B.	25. Caprile E. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 34. Ismajli A. 33. Luperto S. (C) 11. Gyasi E. 5. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 13. Cacace L. 27. Zurkowski S. 28. Cambiaghi N. 17. Cerri A.
Substitutes
62. Allocca P. (G) 56. Costil B. (G) 18. Coulibaly L. 11. Gomis I. 22. Ikwuemesi C. 99. Legowski M. 7. Martegani A. 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 9. Simy 33. Tchaouna L. 55. Vignato E. 14. Weissman S.	30. Bastoni S. 99. Berisha E. (G) 20. Cancellieri M. 23. Destro M. 21. Fazzini J. 2. Goglichidze S. 8. Kovalenko V. 10. Niang M. 1. Perisan S. (G) 3. Pezzella G. 7. Shpendi S.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Nicola D.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0.

Salernitana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Empoli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Salernitana: Fazio F. (Injury) Gyomber N. (Injury) Pasalidis T. (Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: Bastoni S. (Muscle Injury) Ebuehi T. (Muscle Injury) Walukiewicz S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Pirola L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Caputo F. (Ankle Injury) Marin R. (Ankle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
04.02.24	Torino - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
29.01.24	Salernitana - Roma	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Salernitana - Genoa	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Napoli - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Salernitana - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLLL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
03.02.24	Empoli - Genoa	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Juventus - Empoli	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Empoli - Monza	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Verona - Empoli	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Empoli - Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.09.23	Empoli - Salernitana	1:0
08.05.23	Empoli - Salernitana	2:1
05.09.22	Salernitana - Empoli	2:2
14.05.22	Empoli - Salernitana	1:1
23.10.21	Salernitana - Empoli	2:4
Italian Serie B
07.05.21	Salernitana - Empoli	2:0
17.01.21	Empoli - Salernitana	5:0

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