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Empoli - Genoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 18
  • Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday
  • Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
    argentinaArgentinaESPN
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
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    brazilBrazilDisney+
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    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
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    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruESPN, Fox Sports 2
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalSport TV4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
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    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
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    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
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    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia
    Empoli Genoa
    Empoli Genoa
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 2.65 2.85 3.2
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.43)    		 2.84 ↓
    (3.07)    		 3.23 ↑
    (3.23)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Empoli
    36.7%    		Draw
    33.7%    		Genoa
    29.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    39.3% 31.1% 29.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    41.3% 32.6% 28.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    17.4% 65.2% 17.4%

    Empoli - Genoa Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 10 - 15.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 12 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 43 - 66.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.7% – 77.7%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. ColombiaVasquez Llach D. S. (G)
      2. GeorgiaGoglichidze S.
    34. AlbaniaIsmajli A.
    13. NewCacace L.
    11. GhanaGyasi E.
      8. EnglandAnjorin F.
      5. ItalyGrassi A. (C)
      3. ItalyPezzella G.
    29. ItalyColombo L.
      6. ScotlandHenderson L.
    99. ItalyEsposito Se.
    		  1. ItalyLeali N. (G)
    15. EnglandNorton-Cuffy B.
    13. ItalyBani M.
    22. MexicoVasquez J.
      3. SpainMartin A.
    59. ItalyZanoli A.
    19. ItalyPinamonti A.
      9. PortugalVitinha
    47. CroatiaBadelj M. (C)
      2. NorwayThorsby M.
    32. DenmarkFrendrup M.
    Substitutes
    37. PolandBembnista D.
    22. ItalyDe Sciglio M.
    19. SwedenEkong E.
    10. ItalyFazzini J.
    90. ItalyKonate I.
    93. MoroccoMaleh Y.
    35. ItalyMarianucci L.
      1. ItalyPerisan S. (G)
      7. FranceSambia J.
    12. ItalySeghetti J. (G)
    31. ItalyTosto L.
    		30. NigeriaAnkeye D.
      8. NorwayBohinen E.
      4. BelgiumDe Winter K.
    21. ItalyEkhator J.
    18. GhanaEkuban C.
    95. ItalyGollini P. (G)
    53. IsraelKasa L.
    27. ItalyMarcandalli A.
    73. ItalyMasini P.
    72. ItalyMelegoni F.
    23. ItalyMiretti F.
    11. UruguayPereiro G.
    20. ItalySabelli S.
    39. ItalySommariva D. (G)
    14. ItalyVogliacco A.
    Coaches
         ItalyD'Aversa R.
    		     FranceVieira P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 39', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
    • 46', 0 - 1, Badelj M. ⚽,
    • 52', D'Aversa R. 🟨,
    • 54', Esposito Se. (Pen),
    • 59', Henderson L. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
    • 63', Badelj M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
    • 63', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
    • 63', Zanoli A. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
    • 66', Thorsby M. 🟨,
    • 68', 0 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Miretti F. (A),
    • 71', Goglichidze S. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
    • 71', Grassi A. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
    • 74', 1 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽, Anjorin F. (A),
    • 80', Vitinha 🟨,
    • 80', Anjorin F. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
    • 80', Cacace L. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
    • 81', Gyasi E. 🟨,
    • 82', Thorsby M. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,

    Preview

  • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0.
  • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
  • Genoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • Recently Empoli have a series of guest games.
  • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
  • There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Solbakken O. (Injury) Viti M. (Thigh Injury) Zurkowski S. (Ankle Injury)
  • There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Messias J. (Calf Injury)
  • There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Brancolini F. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Genoa: De Winter K. (Thigh Injury) Ekhator J. (Injury)
  • Last 14 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.8:1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Empoli
    Italian Serie A
    22.12.24 Atalanta - Empoli 3:2 ✺
    13.12.24 Empoli - Torino 0:1 ✺
    08.12.24 Verona - Empoli 1:4 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    04.12.24 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3 penalties ✺
    Italian Serie A
    30.11.24 Milan - Empoli 3:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4
    LLWWL
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    21.12.24 Genoa - Napoli 1:2 ✺
    15.12.24 Milan - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    07.12.24 Genoa - Torino 0:0 ✺
    01.12.24 Udinese - Genoa 0:2 ✺
    24.11.24 Genoa - Cagliari 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9
    LTTWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    03.02.24 Empoli - Genoa 0:0
    02.12.23 Genoa - Empoli 1:1
    06.03.22 Genoa - Empoli 0:0
    05.11.21 Empoli - Genoa 2:2
    28.01.19 Empoli - Genoa 1:3
    26.08.18 Genoa - Empoli 2:1
    05.03.17 Empoli - Genoa 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Empoli
    Italian Serie B
    10.10.26 Empoli - Palermo ✺
    - Genoa CFC
    Italian Serie A
    10.10.26 Genoa - Fiorentina ✺

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