Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 18

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Argentina	11:00	ESPN
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 1
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	ESPN
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	ESPN, Fox Sports 2
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV4
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	17:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	17:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
Usa	09:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Empoli		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.55	2.8	3.2
	2.62	2.82	3.15	Watch
	2.59	2.9	3.34
	2.64	2.86	3.25	Watch
	2.62	2.75	3.1
	2.71	2.94	3.26	Watch
	2.65	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.43)	2.84 ↓ (3.07)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
36.7%

Draw
33.7%

Genoa
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

31.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

32.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	65.2%	17.4%

Empoli - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 10 - 15.4%). Genoa will win (votes: 12 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 43 - 66.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.7% – 77.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 13. Cacace L. 11. Gyasi E. 8. Anjorin F. 5. Grassi A. (C) 3. Pezzella G. 29. Colombo L. 6. Henderson L. 99. Esposito Se.	1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 13. Bani M. 22. Vasquez J. 3. Martin A. 59. Zanoli A. 19. Pinamonti A. 9. Vitinha 47. Badelj M. (C) 2. Thorsby M. 32. Frendrup M.
Substitutes
37. Bembnista D. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 10. Fazzini J. 90. Konate I. 93. Maleh Y. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.	30. Ankeye D. 8. Bohinen E. 4. De Winter K. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 95. Gollini P. (G) 53. Kasa L. 27. Marcandalli A. 73. Masini P. 72. Melegoni F. 23. Miretti F. 11. Pereiro G. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 14. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Vieira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Badelj M. ⚽,
52', D'Aversa R. 🟨,
54', Esposito Se. (Pen),
59', Henderson L. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
63', Badelj M. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
63', Pinamonti A. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
63', Zanoli A. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
66', Thorsby M. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Miretti F. (A),
71', Goglichidze S. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
71', Grassi A. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽, Anjorin F. (A),
80', Vitinha 🟨,
80', Anjorin F. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
80', Cacace L. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
81', Gyasi E. 🟨,
82', Thorsby M. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Genoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Empoli have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Solbakken O. (Injury) Viti M. (Thigh Injury) Zurkowski S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Messias J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Brancolini F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: De Winter K. (Thigh Injury) Ekhator J. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
22.12.24	Atalanta - Empoli	3:2 ✺
13.12.24	Empoli - Torino	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Verona - Empoli	1:4 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.24	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Milan - Empoli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LLWWL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
21.12.24	Genoa - Napoli	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Milan - Genoa	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Genoa - Torino	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Udinese - Genoa	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Genoa - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.02.24	Empoli - Genoa	0:0
02.12.23	Genoa - Empoli	1:1
06.03.22	Genoa - Empoli	0:0
05.11.21	Empoli - Genoa	2:2
28.01.19	Empoli - Genoa	1:3
26.08.18	Genoa - Empoli	2:1
05.03.17	Empoli - Genoa	0:2

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