Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 22

Date: 29 January 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:45	beIN Sports
Belgium	20:45	Eleven Sports
Brazil	16:45	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max
France	20:45	beIN Sports Max
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	20:45	Sport 1
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV4
Romania	21:45	Digi Sport 2
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports


	Salernitana		Roma

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.25	3.7	1.68
	5.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.3	3.85	1.68
	5.54	3.89	1.68
	5	3.7	1.65
	5.43	3.91	1.74	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (5.06)	3.79 ↑ (3.7)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
18.1%

Draw
25.3%

Roma
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

25.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25.1%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	14.8%	80.2%

Salernitana - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (65 of 81 users predict this - 80.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.58% – 88.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 5. Daniliuc F. 23. Gyomber N. 3. Bradaric D. 6. Sambia J. 25. Maggiore G. 26. Basic T. 87. Candreva A. (C) 33. Tchaouna L. 9. Simy	1. Patricio R. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 23. Mancini G. 14. Llorente D. 43. Kristensen R. 52. Bove E. 4. Cristante B. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 90. Lukaku R.
Substitutes
11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 22. Ikwuemesi C. 20. Kastanos G. 99. Legowski M. 66. Lovato M. 7. Martegani A. 36. Sfait A. 19. Stewart T. 59. Zanoli A.	22. Aouar H. 11. Belotti A. 63. Boer P. (G) 19. Celik Z. 67. Costa J. 3. Huijsen D. 74. Oliveras J. 60. Pagano R. 61. Pisilli N. 99. Svilar M. (G) 59. Zalewski N.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	De Rossi D.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8).

Salernitana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Roma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Coulibaly L. (National selection) Dia B. (Muscle Injury) Jovane (National selection) Pirola L. (Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury) Azmoun S. (National selection) Kumbulla M. (Injury) Ndicka E. (National selection) Paredes L. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Fazio F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Sanches R. (Ankle Injury) Smalling C. (Health problems)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
21.01.24	Salernitana - Genoa	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Napoli - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Salernitana - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.01.24	Juventus - Salernitana	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.12.23	Verona - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW
- AS Roma
Club Friendly
24.01.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.01.24	Roma - Verona	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.01.24	Lazio - Roma	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.01.24	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.08.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2
22.05.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2
14.08.22	Salernitana - Roma	0:1
10.04.22	Roma - Salernitana	2:1
29.08.21	Salernitana - Roma	0:4

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