Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Verona		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.55	2.87	3.1
	2.58	2.88	3.15	Watch
	2.72	2.92	3.19
	2.64	2.92	3.18	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.9
	2.76	2.91	3.23	Watch
	2.6	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.5)	2.89 ↓ (3.15)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
36.5%

Draw
33.2%

Empoli
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	52.6%	15.8%

Verona - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Empoli will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 23. Magnani G. 27. Dawidowicz P. 12. Bradaric D. 6. Belahyane R. 21. Dani Silva 31. Suslov T. 14. Rocha Livramento D. 8. Lazovic D. (C) 11. Tengstedt C.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 8. Anjorin F. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 13. Cacace L. 9. Pellegri P.
Substitutes
72. Ajayi J. 22. Berardi A. (G) 80. Cisse A. 82. Corradi C. 4. Daniliuc F. 5. Faraoni D. 87. Ghilardi D. 18. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 35. Mosquera D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 17. Sishuba A.	16. Belardinelli L. 29. Colombo L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Perisan S. (G) 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.
Coaches
Zanetti P.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
11', Pellegri P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
12', Dani Silva 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Esposito Se. ⚽, Anjorin F. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Cacace L. ⚽, Maleh Y. (A),
34', Bradaric D. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
35', 1 - 3, Tengstedt C. ⚽, Tchatchoua J. (A),
40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
42', 1 - 4, Colombo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Harroui A. ↑,
60', Suslov T. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
60', Dani Silva ↓, Kastanos G. ↑,
69', Anjorin F. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
69', Pezzella G. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
75', Maleh Y. 🟨,
80', Tengstedt C. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
83', Maleh Y. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
83', Esposito Se. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
90+2', Henderson L. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Verona won 2.

Verona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Empoli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Verona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Verona: Coppola D. (Yellow Cards) Cruz J. M. (Knee Injury) Duda O. (Thigh Injury) Frese M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Empoli: De Sciglio M. (Injury) Fazzini J. (Injury) Grassi A. (Injury) Haas N. (Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Brancolini F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Verona won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
29.11.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Verona - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
10.11.24	Fiorentina - Verona	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Verona - Roma	3:2 ✺
29.10.24	Lecce - Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL
- FC Empoli
Coppa Italia
04.12.24	Fiorentina - Empoli	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Milan - Empoli	3:0 ✺
25.11.24	Empoli - Udinese	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Lecce - Empoli	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Empoli - Como	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
13.01.24	Verona - Empoli	2:1
19.08.23	Empoli - Verona	0:1
28.05.23	Verona - Empoli	1:1
31.08.22	Empoli - Verona	1:1
20.03.22	Empoli - Verona	1:1
Coppa Italia
15.12.21	Verona - Empoli	3:4
Italian Serie A
22.11.21	Verona - Empoli	2:1

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