Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	ESPN
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	TLN, VIVA
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Hong Kong	01:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Iran	20:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	17:00	Shabake 3
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	22:00	ICE Sports
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV3
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	20:00	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	20:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	21:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	12:00	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	ON Football, ON Plus
International	17:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Empoli		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.67	Watch
	5	3.75	1.7
	4.9	3.95	1.68	Watch
	5.49	3.95	1.69
	5.58	3.87	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.7
	5.59	3.87	1.73	Watch
	5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.78)	3.89 ↑ (3.76)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
18.7%

Draw
24.7%

Milan
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

25.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

24.7%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.1%	87.9%

Empoli - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (57 of 65 users predict this - 87.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.7% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 35. Marianucci L. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 5. Grassi A. (C) 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L.	16. Maignan M. (C) 32. Walker K. 23. Tomori F. 31. Pavlovic S. 19. Hernandez T. 80. Musah Y. 29. Fofana Y. 14. Reijnders T. 20. Jimenez A. 90. Abraham T. 79. Joao Felix
Substitutes
36. Bacci J. 40. Brayan 39. Falcusan D. 2. Goglichidze S. 90. Konate I. 18. Kouame C. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 1. Silvestri M. (G) 31. Tosto L. 27. Zurkowski S.	33. Bartesaghi D. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 46. Gabbia M. 7. Gimenez S. 10. Leao R. 11. Pulisic C. 99. Sottil R. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 28. Thiaw M. 96. Torriani L. (G)
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Joao Felix 🟨,
28', Viti M. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
36', Tomori F. 🟨,
45+3', Henderson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jimenez A. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
46', Abraham T. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
46', Fofana Y. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
55', Tomori F. 🟨,
62', Grassi A. 🟨,
65', Marianucci L. 🟥,
65', Gimenez S. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Leao R. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
69', Reijnders T. ↓, Thiaw M. ↑,
70', Henderson L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
70', Colombo L. ↓, Zurkowski S. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Gimenez S. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
80', Grassi A. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
80', Esposito Se. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
84', Joao Felix ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 0.

Empoli is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Milan have a series of home games.

In this match Milan is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Red Card) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Thigh Injury) Emerson Royal (Muscle Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Anjorin F. (Thigh Injury) Brancolini F. (Injury) Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Fazzini J. (Thigh Injury) Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury) Solbakken O. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Empoli won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Juventus - Empoli	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Empoli - Bologna	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Inter Milan - Empoli	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Empoli - Lecce	1:3 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT
- AC Milan
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Milan	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Milan - Parma	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Milan - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Milan - Empoli	3:0
10.03.24	Milan - Empoli	1:0
07.01.24	Empoli - Milan	0:3
07.04.23	Milan - Empoli	0:0
01.10.22	Empoli - Milan	1:3
12.03.22	Milan - Empoli	1:0
22.12.21	Empoli - Milan	2:4

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