Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Salernitana		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.3	9.8
	1.27	5.28	9.91
	1.26	5.09	10.64	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.28	5.35	9.78	Watch
	1.23	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (2.22)	5.25 ↑ (3.45)	10.19 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salernitana
73.4%

Draw
17.6%

Foggia
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salernitana's performance.

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foggia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-30.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salernitana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foggia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salernitana - Foggia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 28. Longobardi G. 26. Matino E. 18. Golemic V. 14. Villa L. 29. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 17. Knezovic B. 7. Achik I. 10. Ferrari F. 20. Ferraris A.	1. Perucchini F. (G) 23. Morelli G. 6. Minelli A. 98. Rizzo F. 77. Olivieri E. 8. Garofalo V. 47. Pazienza O. 5. Castorri G. 18. Oliva M. 9. Bevilacqua M. 99. D'Amico F.
Substitutes
33. Anastasio A. 95. Barzagli G. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 6. de Boer K. 45. Di Vico R. 39. Iervolino A. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M.	26. Agnelli G. 27. Borbei A. (G) 19. Byar N. 40. Castaldi G. 11. Fossati D. 22. Magro F. (G) 14. Panico C. 54. Pellegrino G. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y. 24. Valietti F. 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Pazienza O. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Capomaggio G. ⚽,
23', Morelli G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Castorri G. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Capomaggio G. ⚽,
45+3', Olivieri E. 🟥,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castorri G. ↓, Panico C. ↑,
46', Morelli G. ↓, Valietti F. ↑,
56', Knezovic B. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
56', Garofalo V. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
61', Golemic V. 🟨,
67', Villa L. 🟨,
79', Ferraris A. 🟨,
80', Pazienza O. ↓, Byar N. ↑,
86', Oliva M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
89', Ferrari F. ↓, Ubani M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Salernitana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Benevento - Salernitana	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Salernitana - Potenza	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Altamura - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.12.25	Foggia - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Siracusa - Foggia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Trapani - Foggia	3:1 ✺
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.19	Foggia - Salernitana	3:1
23.12.18	Salernitana - Foggia	1:0
12.05.18	Foggia - Salernitana	1:0
21.12.17	Salernitana - Foggia	0:3
Italian Serie C Group C
20.02.15	Salernitana - Foggia	2:2
04.10.14	Foggia - Salernitana	1:1

Upcoming Matches