Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.87
	2.42	3	2.98	Watch
	2.56	3.06	3.25
	2.44	3.01	3.11	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.5	2.88	3.14	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	3.08 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
38.4%

Draw
31.2%

Sampdoria
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	26.3%	21.1%

Catanzaro - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sampdoria (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Catanzaro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sampdoria (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 62. Frosinini R. 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 10. Petriccione J. 32. Rispoli F. 80. Cisse A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 8. Pittarello F. 9. Iemmello P.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 23. Depaoli F. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Abildgaard O. 21. Giordano S. 2. Viti M. 20. Pafundi S. 33. Conti F. 16. Henderson L. 10. Cherubini L. 9. Coda M.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 99. Borrelli E. (G) 98. Buglio D. 17. Di Chiara G. 94. Di Francesco F. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 7. Pandolfi L. 21. Pompetti M.	11. Begic T. 14. Bellemo A. 99. Brunori M. 34. Casalino T. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 19. Girelli S. 13. Palma M. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 31. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Gregucci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Cassandro T. 🟨,
42', Petriccione J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Viti M. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
56', Coda M. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
62', Henderson L. 🟨,
65', Frosinini R. 🟨,
66', Pittarello F. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
66', Iemmello P. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
69', Cherubini L. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
75', Rispoli F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
75', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
82', Frosinini R. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,
83', Pafundi S. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
85', Abildgaard O. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Catanzaro might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Matias Antonini (Yellow Cards) Oudin R. (Inactive) Pandolfi L. (Inactive) Verrengia B. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Ioannou N. (Yellow Cards) Ricci M. (Inactive) Riccio A. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Venuti L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Ferri J. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.11%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Venezia - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Bari - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Catanzaro - Avellino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Sampdoria - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Padova - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.10.25	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	0:0
04.05.25	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	2:2
30.11.24	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	3:3
10.05.24	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	1:3
01.10.23	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	1:2

Upcoming Matches