Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Juve Stabia		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.37	3	3.1
	2.48	2.88	3	Watch
	2.62	2.91	3.25
	2.55	2.85	3.12	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.54	2.83	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.23)	2.87 ↓ (3.13)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
37.4%

Draw
32.6%

Sampdoria
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	38.9%	16.7%

Juve Stabia - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boer P. (G) 46. Diakite S. 33. Giorgini A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. (C) 29. Correia O. 77. Cacciamani A. 7. Burnete R. 9. Gabrielloni A.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 13. Palma M. 28. Abildgaard O. (C) 2. Viti M. 29. Di Pardo A. 33. Conti F. 94. Esposito Sa. 21. Giordano S. 11. Begic T. 10. Cherubini L. 99. Brunori M.
Substitutes
17. Ciammaglichella A. 21. Kassama S. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 90. Okoro A. 10. Pierobon C. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 22. Vetro A. (G)	72. Barak A. 34. Casalino T. 7. Cicconi M. 98. Coucke G. (G) 23. Depaoli F. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E.
Coaches
Abate I.	Foti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Martinelli T. 🟨,
59', Burnete R. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
59', Mosti N. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
64', Giordano S. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
76', Esposito Sa. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
78', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Correia O. ⚽, Carissoni L. (A),
90', Cherubini L. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
90', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
90', Viti M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Di Pardo A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juve Stabia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Inactive) Candellone L. (Injury) Confente A. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Varnier M. (Inactive) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Coda M. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Martinelli T. (Inactive) Pierini N. (Injury) Venuti L. (Injury) Viti M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Henderson L. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.85%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Empoli - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
27.02.26	Sampdoria - Bari	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mantova - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sampdoria - Padova	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Sampdoria - Palermo	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Modena - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.11.25	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:0
13.05.25	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	0:0
04.10.24	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2
Coppa Italia
18.08.12	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	N/A

Juve Stabia - Sampdoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide