The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salford City 43.8%
Draw 27.2%
Carlisle United 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
27%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
27.2%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Salford City - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Salford City will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jones J. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 16. Tilt C. 5. Negru S. 11. Taylor J. 4. Ashley O. 6. Fornah T. 29. Garbutt L. 33. Austerfield J. 27. Kouassi K. 37. Okoronkwo F.
13. Breeze G. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 37. Burey T. 8. Guy C. 17. Neal H. 22. Mellish J. 14. Adu Adjei D. 24. Sadi D. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
22. Luamba J. 8. Lund M. 23. Malcolm K. 18. McAleny C. 32. Shephard L. 9. Stockton C. 13. Young M. (G)
26. Barclay B. 12. Biggins H. 15. Charters T. 3. Harper C. 40. Harris K. 1. Lewis H. (G) 16. Vela J.
Coaches
Robinson K.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Adu Adjei D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Taylor J. ↓, Malcolm K. ↑,
57', Mnoga H. 🟨,
63', Okoronkwo F. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
64', Burey T. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
64', Guy C. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
70', Neal H. 🟨,
72', Armstrong L. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
74', Austerfield J. 🟨,
80', Mnoga H. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
80', Austerfield J. ↓, Shephard L. ↑,
85', Hayden A. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Barclay B. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
90', Jones J. 🟨,
90+1', Negru S. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 2.
Salford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlisle has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Salford will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Salford to win the game is with odds 2.08.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Salford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.6:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
United-kingdom
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Jones J. (G) 
Mnoga H. 
Tilt C. 
Negru S. 
Fornah T. 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Thomas T. 
Lund M. 
Shephard L. 
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