Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)


	Carlisle United		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.85
	4	3.5	1.9
	4	3.5	1.87	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.89
	4.03	3.44	1.9	Watch
	4	3.5	1.95
	4.24	3.64	1.85	Watch
	4	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.7)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	1.89 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
23%

Draw
26.9%

Wigan Athletic
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.1%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 37. Burey T. 4. Thomas T. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 6. Hayden A. 22. Mellish J. 24. Sadi D. 17. Neal H. 7. Robson E. 15. Charters T. 14. Adu Adjei D.	1. Tickle S. (G) 5. Sessegnon S. 15. Kerr J. (C) 17. Sibbick T. 19. Robinson L. 35. Francois T. 7. Rankine D. 8. Smith M. 10. Aasgaard T. 11. Olakigbe M. 28. Taylor D.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 26. Barclay B. 18. Ellis J. 8. Guy C. 3. Harper C. 34. Hopper D. 1. Lewis H. (G) 19. Robinson J. 16. Vela J.	37. Asamoah M. 23. Carragher J. 9. Hugill J. 2. Ramsay C. 18. Smith J. 21. Smith S. 29. Thomas S. 12. Watson T. (G) 6. Weir J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Robson E. 🟥,
25', Rankine D. 🟨,
33', Olakigbe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sessegnon S. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
46', Rankine D. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
46', Olakigbe M. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
57', Robinson L. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
59', Burey T. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
59', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
61', Neal H. 🟨,
75', Hayden A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
75', Charters T. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
75', Taylor D. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
87', Lavelle S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
98', 0 - 1, Smith S. ⚽,
111', Thomas T. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
120+1', 0 - 2, Smith M. ⚽,

Preview

Carlisle has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wigan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Wigan have a series of guest games.

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League Two
26.10.24	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Walsall - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Carlisle United	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
28.10.24	Blackpool - Wigan Athletic	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Wigan Athletic - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	0:2
English League One
29.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Carlisle United	2:0
15.08.23	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	1:1

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