The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walsall 59.3%
Draw 24.1%
Carlisle United 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
24.7%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
23.3%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Walsall - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Walsall will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 26. Okagbue D. 24. Williams H. 21. Allen T. 2. Barrett C. 22. Jellis J. 25. Stirk R. 8. Lakin C. 3. Gordon L. 9. Matt J. (C) 7. Lowe N.
1. Lewis H. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 4. Thomas T. 16. Vela J. 8. Guy C. 17. Neal H. 3. Harper C. 12. Biggins H. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 14. Comley B. 5. Daniels D. 17. Earing J. 20. Hall G. 12. Hornby S. (G) 39. Johnson D.
26. Barclay B. 13. Breeze G. (G) 37. Burey T. 15. Charters T. 25. Dudik A. 7. Robson E. 24. Sadi D.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lowe N. ⚽,
22', Thomas T. 🟨,
44', Jellis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hayden A. ↓, Sadi D. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Jellis J. ⚽, Matt J. (A),
53', Matt J. 🟨,
55', Lavelle S. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Matt J. ⚽,
60', Harper C. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
60', Guy C. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
60', Vela J. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
61', Matt J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
61', Lakin C. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
71', Lavelle S. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
72', Jellis J. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
72', Stirk R. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
79', Lowe N. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Mellish J. ⚽, Barclay B. (A),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 2.
Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Walsall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Walsall is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Walsall won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:11 (average 0.9:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).
United-kingdom
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Simkin T. (G) 
Okagbue D. 
Stirk R. 
Gordon L. 
Matt J. (C) 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Thomas T. 
Adomah A. 
Comley B. 
Dudik A. 
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