The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 52.7%
Draw 26%
Carlisle United 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
25.6%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.2%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
5.9%
0%
AFC Wimbledon - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 16. Ball J. (C) 26. Harbottle R. 11. Neufville J. 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 7. Tilley J. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M.
1. Lewis H. (G) 5. Lavelle S. 26. Barclay B. 22. Mellish J. 2. Davies A. 17. Neal H. 12. Biggins H. 3. Harper C. 16. Vela J. 10. Wyke Ch. (C) 24. Sadi D.
Substitutes
2. Biler H. 3. Furlong J. 6. Johnson R. 10. Kelly J. 5. O'Toole J. J. 39. Pigott J. 22. Ward L. (G)
29. Armstrong L. 13. Breeze G. (G) 15. Charters T. 25. Dudik A. 18. Ellis J. 8. Guy C. 19. Robinson J.
Coaches
Jackson J.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', Maycock C. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
34', Barclay B. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Harper C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Davies A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
46', Wyke Ch. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Stevens M. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
56', Harbottle R. 🟨,
60', Vela J. 🟨,
64', Sadi D. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
64', Vela J. ↓, Charters T. ↑,
71', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
72', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
75', Neufville J. ↓, Biler H. ↑,
90', Ogundere I. ↓, Johnson R. ↑,
90', Hippolyte M. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 22).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1.
Recent matches Wimbledon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Wimbledon have a series of guest games.
In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
United-kingdom
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Goodman O. (G) 
Hippolyte M. 
Bugiel O. 
Lavelle S. 
Furlong J. 
Johnson R. 
Dudik A. 
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