Match Info

League Two - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St James Park (Exeter) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Laflin G. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.82	Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.70
	2.38	3.15	2.70	Watch
	2.48	3.36	2.97
	2.4	3.33	2.84	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.90
	2.47	3.13	2.90	Watch
	2.39	3.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.51)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.84 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
38.5%

Draw
28.8%

Fleetwood Town
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Exeter City - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Exeter (2.40) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Samuel L. 6. Taylor J. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 14. Kite H. 16. Cummins C. 20. Birch G. 8. Perry T. 25. Scully A. 10. Gordon J.	1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 27. McLean C. 10. Helm M. 24. Batty J. 17. Evans C. (C) 19. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
12. Cole R. 19. Cox S. 24. Harper V. 40. James E. 18. Oakes L. 22. Phillips F. (G) 23. Sutherland E.	3. Andrew D. 29. Cirino R. 9. Davies W. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 15. Murphy A. 22. Pradic J. (G) 28. Robertson J.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Lawlor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Perry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Perry T. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Cummins C. ⚽, Cole R. (A),
60', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, McLean C. (A),
61', Potter F. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
61', Evans C. ↓, Cirino R. ↑,
63', Scully A. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Woodhouse L. ⚽, Birch G. (A),
70', McLean C. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
70', McCann L. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
71', Gordon J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
78', Kite H. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
78', Birch G. ↓, Harper V. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 18th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.

Exeter is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Fleetwood have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Exeter: Rose D. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Fleetwood: Bennett R. (Yellow Cards) Thompson-Sommers K. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Exeter: Matthews A. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fleetwood: Andrew D. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Inactive).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Exeter	13	5	4	4	10:7	3	19
18	Fleetwood	13	3	5	5	15:17	-2	14

Outrights of English League Two for now

Exeter: 2.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
20.10.26	Exeter City - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Colchester United - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Exeter City - Oxford United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
03.10.26	Exeter City - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTWWW
- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
20.10.26	Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town	4:2 ✺
17.10.26	Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
English League Two
03.10.26	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.02.24	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	1:1
11.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	3:0
01.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	2:2
22.10.22	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:1
English League Two
22.03.14	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	3:0
28.09.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	1:2
09.03.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	0:0

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