Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 35

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.06	3.4	3.65
	2.04	3.53	3.84
	2	3.4	3.4
	2.03	3.56	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
46.4%

Draw
27.3%

Fleetwood Town
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Exeter City - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sinisalo V. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 39. Diabate C. 3. Jules Z. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Carroll T. 8. Woods R. 31. Harper V. 20. Harris L. 27. Eisa M. 12. Cole R.	13. Lynch J. (G) 16. Heneghan B. 5. Lawal B. 6. Campbell E. 2. Johnston C. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 8. Kilkenny G. 3. Boyes H. 19. Graydon R. 9. Stockley J. 33. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
4. Aimson W. 19. Cox S. 30. MacDonald S. (G) 2. Purrington B. 21. Rankine D. 17. Watts C. 13. Wildschut Y.	11. Broom R. 10. Mayor D. 30. McMullan S. (G) 20. Omochere P. 44. Patterson P. 26. Rooney S. 12. Samuels I.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Adam C.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Exeter will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
17.02.24	Lincoln City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Exeter City - Derby County	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Exeter City - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Exeter City - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWL
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
17.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Reading	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
06.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	3:0
01.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	2:2
22.10.22	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:1
English League Two
22.03.14	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	3:0
28.09.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	1:2
09.03.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	0:0
10.11.12	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:2

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