Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Salford City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8
	1.44	4.2	7.25
	1.44	4.3	7.5
	1.43	4.3	6.8
	1.44	4.57	8.56
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.46	4.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)	4.45 ↑ (4.1)	7.67 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
66.3%

Draw
21.3%

Southend United
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

19.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	12%	36%

Salford City - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Southend will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Salford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a good chance of promoted (62%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Southend has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Salford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southend is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Southend have a series of home games.

In this match Salford is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
17.10.20	Port Vale - Salford City	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
03.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Salford City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Salford City - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
English League Two
26.09.20	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWT
- Southend United
English League Two
17.10.20	Southend United - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
10.10.20	Southend United - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Southend United - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
English League Two
03.10.20	Crawley Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Southend United - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLTL

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