Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Southend United		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.6
	4.75	3.8	1.67
	5.25	3.8	1.65
	5	3.85	1.6
	5.58	4.1	1.65
	5.25	3.75	1.6
	5.8	4.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.26)	3.89 ↑ (3.63)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southend United
17.7%

Draw
24.3%

Exeter City
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.9%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	11.5%	69.2%

Southend United - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Southend will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Exeter will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Southend has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Exeter has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Southend has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Exeter is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Southend won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Southend United - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
English League Two
03.10.20	Crawley Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Southend United - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Southend United - Harrogate Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL
- Exeter City
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Swindon Town - Exeter City	3:4 ✺
English League Two
03.10.20	Exeter City - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Exeter City - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
12.09.20	Salford City - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.04.15	Exeter City - Southend United	0:1
18.10.14	Southend United - Exeter City	1:1
15.02.14	Southend United - Exeter City	2:3
16.11.13	Exeter City - Southend United	0:2
12.01.13	Exeter City - Southend United	3:0
22.09.12	Southend United - Exeter City	2:1

Upcoming Matches