Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 38

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Salford City

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.93	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.93	3.59	4.2
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	1.94	3.52	3.88	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)	3.92 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
48.9%

Draw
27.2%

Salford City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	6.7%	33.3%

Stevenage Borough - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Salford will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: )).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (32.03%), project points - 82, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), a good chance of promoted (74%), a chance of win league (16%).

Salford has the most likely position - 8 (18.35%), project points - 73, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (55%), a chance of promoted (23%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 16, importance 63, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
18.03.23	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
14.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Rochdale - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW
- Salford City
English League Two
18.03.23	Salford City - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
10.03.23	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	4:3 ✺
04.03.23	Salford City - Newport County	3:1 ✺
28.02.23	Barrow - Salford City	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Mansfield Town - Salford City	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.08.22	Salford City - Stevenage Borough	1:0
07.05.22	Stevenage Borough - Salford City	4:2
18.12.21	Salford City - Stevenage Borough	1:0
10.04.21	Salford City - Stevenage Borough	2:1
03.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Salford City	0:1
15.02.20	Stevenage Borough - Salford City	0:1
03.08.19	Salford City - Stevenage Borough	2:0

Upcoming Matches