Match Info

League One - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.61	4.3	5.24
	1.66	3.89	4.76	Watch
	1.64	4.44	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	4.24 ↑ (3.85)	4.91 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
58.6%

Draw
22.2%

Reading
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Stockport County - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Reading will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stockport County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 24. Onyango T. 27. Bailey O. 26. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 22. Andresson B. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K.	1. Pereira J. (G) 5. Jacob M. 12. Burns F. 39. Ahmed A. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 29. Doyle K. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 7. Marriott J. 11. Kyerewaa D.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 16. Connolly C. 10. Fevrier J. 18. Fiorini L. 9. Lowe N. 21. Moxon O. 2. O'Keeffe C.	2. Abrefa K. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 4. Elliott B. 20. O'Mahony M. 30. Ritchie M. 25. Stevens J. (G) 22. Stickland M.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Wootton K. ⚽, Onyango T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
71', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
71', Ahmed A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
74', Burns F. 🟨,
75', Bailey O. 🟨,
78', Bailey O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
78', Andresson B. ↓, Lowe N. ↑,
86', Lane P. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
90+1', Olowu J. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
90+2', Marriott J. ↓, Stickland M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 20).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stockport is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Stockport: Dodgson O. (Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Bate L. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Injury) Onyango T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Okine-Peters J. (Inactive) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Stockport County - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
20.09.25	Rotherham United - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Stockport County - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	4:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Stockport County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	5:3 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLWT
- Reading
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wrexham - Reading	2:0 ✺
English League One
20.09.25	Reading - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Barnsley - Reading	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Swindon Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Reading - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.01.25	Reading - Stockport County	1:3
29.10.24	Stockport County - Reading	4:1

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