Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)


	Salford City		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	2.98	3.55	2.17
	3.35	3.45	2.25
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	3.04	3.66	2.16	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.76)	3.51 ↓ (3.84)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
30.2%

Draw
26.7%

Wrexham
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

24.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Salford City - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (G) 3. John D. 42. Vassell T. 16. Tilt C. 29. Garbutt L. 54. Luamba J. 6. Watt E. (C) 7. Watson R. 39. Morton C. 17. Smith M. 18. McAleny C.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 5. Hayden A. 4. Tozer B. (C) 6. Tunnicliffe J. 29. Barnett R. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 20. Cannon A. 23. McClean J. 10. Mullin P. 18. Dalby S.
Substitutes
20. Chesters D. 9. Hendry C. 8. Lund M. 5. Mariappa A. 30. N'Mai K. 32. Shephard L. 31. Torrance J. (G)	17. Bolton L. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 30. Jones J. 11. Marriott J. 19. Mendy J. 15. O'Connell E.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Salford have a series of guest games.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
27.01.24	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	2:3 ✺
23.01.24	Bradford City - Salford City	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
01.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Salford City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWTL
- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
29.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	4:1 ✺
English League Two
20.01.24	Newport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Wrexham - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Wrexham - Barrow	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.10.23	Wrexham - Salford City	3:2
English National League
01.01.19	Salford City - Wrexham	2:0
26.12.18	Wrexham - Salford City	5:1

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