Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Wrexham		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4
	1.83	3.75	3.9
	1.87	3.75	3.75
	1.88	3.89	4.08
	1.88	3.89	4.08
	1.8	3.75	3.75
	1.85	3.85	3.87	Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	3.9 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
51.1%

Draw
24.8%

AFC Wimbledon
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Wrexham - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 32. Cleworth M. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 20. Cannon A. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 26. Fletcher S.	12. Bass A. (G) 2. Biler H. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 26. Currie J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 14. Little A. 16. Ball J. 7. Tilley J. 29. Sasu A. 9. Davison J.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 25. Boyle W. 18. Dalby S. 21. Howard M. (G) 30. Jones J. 3. McFadzean C. 9. Palmer O.	23. Hallard J. 30. Kalambayi P. 17. McLean R. 33. Ogundere I. 25. Sutcliffe E. 1. Tzanev N. (G) 27. Williams M.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Jackson J.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wimbledon have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Wrexham - Barrow	4:1 ✺
29.12.23	Walsall - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Swindon Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- AFC Wimbledon
English EFL Trophy
09.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	1:3 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Wrexham	1:1

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