Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 29

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Newport County		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.85
	3.6	3.7	1.9
	3.75	3.75	1.9
	3.9	3.8	1.91
	4.06	3.81	1.9
	3.7	3.7	1.83
	3.76	3.78	1.87	Watch
	3.65	3.7	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	3.77 ↑ (3.77)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
24.9%

Draw
25%

Wrexham
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Newport County - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 4. Delaney R. (C) 5. Clarke J. 20. Charsley H. 3. Lewis A. 24. Wildig A. 17. Bennett S. 8. Morris B. 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 7. Evans W.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 4. Tozer B. (C) 25. Boyle W. 23. McClean J. 30. Jones J. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 18. Dalby S. 10. Mullin P.
Substitutes
28. Baker M. 33. Bondswell M. 26. Maxted J. (G) 2. Payne L. 18. Rai K. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.	27. Bickerstaff J. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. McAlinden L. 3. McFadzean C. 15. O'Connell E. 9. Palmer O. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Newport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Newport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Eastleigh - Newport County	1:3 ✺
English League Two
13.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Newport County - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTTT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
13.01.24	Wrexham - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Wrexham - Barrow	4:1 ✺
29.12.23	Walsall - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Swindon Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0
English FA Cup
11.12.18	Newport County - Wrexham	4:0
01.12.18	Wrexham - Newport County	0:0
English National League
05.05.13	Wrexham - Newport County	0:2
04.01.13	Newport County - Wrexham	1:1
01.09.12	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0
24.04.12	Newport County - Wrexham	N/A

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