Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.75
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.75	3.89
	1.95	3.75	3.89
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.93	3.68	3.73	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.61)	3.64 ↓ (4.03)	3.7 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
48.6%

Draw
25.9%

Barrow
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barrow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Wrexham - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 32. Cleworth M. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 20. Cannon A. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 26. Fletcher S.	1. Farman P. (G) 17. Chester J. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. (C) 7. Worrall D. 8. Spence K. 13. White T. 16. Foley S. 11. Newby E. 20. Acquah E. 34. Whitfield B.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 25. Boyle W. 18. Dalby S. 7. Davies J. 21. Howard M. (G) 30. Jones J. 19. Mendy J.	4. Campbell D. 12. Lillis J. (G) 3. Ogungbo M. 9. Proctor J. 18. Stephenson L. 19. Telford D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Wild P.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
29.12.23	Walsall - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Swindon Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Wrexham - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL
- Barrow
English League Two
29.12.23	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Barrow - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
22.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Swindon Town - Barrow	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Maidstone United - Barrow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.08.23	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1
English National League
03.08.19	Wrexham - Barrow	2:1
12.03.19	Wrexham - Barrow	1:3
27.11.18	Barrow - Wrexham	0:0
01.01.18	Wrexham - Barrow	3:3
26.12.17	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1
21.03.17	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1

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