The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 32%
Draw 28.4%
Wrexham 39.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
28.9%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
28.4%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 17. Carter H. 15. McLoughlin S. 3. Pickering H. 8. Morsy S. 24. Baradji M. 11. Fevrier J. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 21. Afolayan O. 9. Gudjohnsen A.
22. Patterson A. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 6. Worrall J. 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 37. James M. 8. Whiteman B. 3. Ekomie J. 28. Smith S. 17. O'Hare C. 19. Moore K.
Substitutes
6. Atcheson T. 27. Beyuku G. 14. De Neve D. 48. Dunn I. 30. Garrett J. 7. Kargbo A. 39. Pates H. 1. Pears A. (G) 16. Wharton S.
11. Cadamarteri B. 15. Dobson G. 30. Imray D. 47. Longman R. 27. O'Brien L. 20. Rathbone O. 18. Sheaf B. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G)
Coaches
Mowbray T.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Pickering H. 🟨,
27', Hyam D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽,
45', James M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', James M. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
64', Whiteman B. ↓, Sheaf B. ↑,
66', Morsy S. 🟨,
72', Fevrier J. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
78', Hyam D. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
78', Kabore I. ↓, Imray D. ↑,
78', Ekomie J. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽, Cantwell T. (A),
89', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
89', Baradji M. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 14th).
Blackburn has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Wrexham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Blackburn: Forshaw A.
(Hip Injury)
Litherland M.
(Muscle Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ohashi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ribeiro Y.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Wrexham: Broadhead N.
(Thigh Injury)
Cacace L.
(Calf Injury)
Cleworth M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Injury)
Thomason G.
(Thigh Injury)
Windass J.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Blackburn: Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wrexham: Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Blackburn against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Blackburn
12
5
3
4
19:16
3
18
17
Wrexham
12
3
5
4
15:18
-3
14
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Wrexham: 3% Blackburn: 1.29%
Last Results with these Odds
Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.73%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.