Match Info

Championship - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Blackburn Rovers		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.23	3.36	3.26	Watch
	2.19	3.37	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.19	3.25	3.31	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
43.5%

Draw
28.1%

Wrexham
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Wrexham will win (votes: 15 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 31.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 26.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Wrexham (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Wrexham (1.82) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Wrexham (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pears A. (G) 12. Miller L. 15. McLoughlin S. 43. Pratt G. 40. Litherland M. 24. Baradji M. 6. Tronstad S. 19. Hedges R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 18. Henriksson A. 23. Ohashi Y.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 5. Hyam D. (C) 24. Scarr D. 2. Doyle C. 37. James M. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 27. O'Brien L. 14. Thomason G. 28. Smith S. 20. Rathbone O.
Substitutes
38. Atcheson T. 14. De Neve D. 52. Dlamini N. 99. Doherty A. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 3. Pickering H. 44. Powell B. 4. Ribeiro Y. 22. Toth B. (G)	45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Burton C. (G) 13. Cacace L. 4. Cleworth M. 6. Coady C. 16. Rodriguez J. 18. Sheaf B.
Coaches
Ismael V.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Smith S. ⚽, James M. (A),
30', Baradji M. 🟨,
37', Cantwell T. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Rathbone O. ⚽, Scarr D. (A),
45+1', Smith S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hedges R. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,
59', Litherland M. ↓, Atcheson T. ↑,
64', Dobson G. 🟨,
67', Miller L. 🟨,
72', James M. ↓, Sheaf B. ↑,
75', Tronstad S. 🟨,
82', Henriksson A. ↓, Dlamini N. ↑,
84', O'Brien L. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
87', Rathbone O. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Blackburn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Blackburn: Alebiosu R. (International duty) Carter H. (Calf Injury) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery) Gudjohnsen A. (Injury) Kargbo A. (Leg Injury) Montgomery K. (Ankle Injury) Morishita R. (Injury) Tavares S. (Inactive) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Hardie R. (Knee Injury) James A. (Injury) Kabore I. (International duty) Lee E. (Knee Injury) McClean J. (Suspended) O'Brien L. (Inactive) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Blackburn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 3.93% Blackburn: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	9:12	-3	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
29.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
29.12.25	Wrexham - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Wrexham - Watford	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Hull City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.11.25	Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
29.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	4:1
Club Friendly
06.07.13	Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers	1:1

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